Discerning the Drivers of China’s Nuclear Force Development: Models, Indicators, and Data

Authors

David C. Logan, Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Tufts University
Phillip C. Saunders, Center for the Study of Chinese Military Affairs, Institute for National Strategic Studies, National Defense University

Files

Description

For decades following its first test in 1964, China maintained a small nuclear force and a doctrine emphasizing deterrence and no-first-use of nuclear weapons. China has recently embarked on an unprecedented campaign of expansion and modernization, which is changing the size, structure, and operational posture of its nuclear forces. The growing discrepancy between China’s restrained declaratory policy and advancing nuclear capabilities raises important questions about the status and future trajectory of China’s nuclear forces, with major implications for the United States.

Publication Date

7-2023

Publisher

National Defense University Press

City

Washington, DC

Recommended Citation

Logan, David C. and Saunders, Phillip C., "Discerning the Drivers of China’s Nuclear Force Development: Models, Indicators, and Data" (2023). China Strategic Perspectives. 1.
https://digitalcommons.ndu.edu/china-strategic-perspectives/1